Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001418 0.001494 0.001572 0.001657 0.001750 0.001846 0.001954
2025-06-08 0.001301 0.001409 0.001525 0.001658 0.001807 0.001969 0.002160
2025-06-15 0.001206 0.001334 0.001476 0.001643 0.001836 0.002053 0.002319
2025-06-22 0.001137 0.001280 0.001440 0.001635 0.001867 0.002135 0.002474
2025-06-29 0.001076 0.001229 0.001403 0.001620 0.001883 0.002197 0.002603
2025-07-06 0.001022 0.001181 0.001367 0.001601 0.001891 0.002245 0.002715
2025-07-13 0.000964 0.001126 0.001317 0.001561 0.001870 0.002254 0.002775
2025-07-20 0.000935 0.001103 0.001304 0.001566 0.001903 0.002330 0.002924
2025-07-27 0.000911 0.001086 0.001297 0.001576 0.001942 0.002414 0.003085
2025-08-03 0.000894 0.001075 0.001297 0.001595 0.001992 0.002514 0.003274
2025-08-10 0.000869 0.001053 0.001281 0.001592 0.002012 0.002573 0.003408
2025-08-17 0.000832 0.001015 0.001244 0.001558 0.001988 0.002571 0.003452
2025-08-24 0.000802 0.000986 0.001219 0.001543 0.001992 0.002612 0.003569
2025-08-31 0.000783 0.000971 0.001211 0.001550 0.002027 0.002700 0.003760
2025-09-07 0.000758 0.000946 0.001190 0.001537 0.002034 0.002746 0.003892
2025-09-14 0.000737 0.000926 0.001174 0.001531 0.002050 0.002804 0.004045
2025-09-21 0.000714 0.000904 0.001153 0.001517 0.002052 0.002843 0.004169
2025-09-28 0.000692 0.000880 0.001131 0.001500 0.002049 0.002871 0.004278
2025-10-05 0.000664 0.000849 0.001097 0.001464 0.002015 0.002851 0.004303
2025-10-12 0.000652 0.000839 0.001091 0.001468 0.002043 0.002929 0.004498
2025-10-19 0.000642 0.000831 0.001088 0.001477 0.002078 0.003018 0.004720
2025-10-26 0.000635 0.000827 0.001091 0.001495 0.002126 0.003132 0.004994
2025-11-02 0.000622 0.000814 0.001081 0.001492 0.002142 0.003193 0.005175